My Week 4 NFL Picks: Some tough choices on the board

Minnesota Vikings running back Adrian Peterson (28) scores a touchdown in front of Detroit Lions safety C.C. Brown (39), left, and Detroit Lions cornerback Jonathan Wade (24) during an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 26, 2010, in Minneapolis.(AP Photo/Andy King)

Hey, the Vikings beat the Lions. Next stop, Super Bowl! All is cured!

Life is busy for me this week, so lets get to it.

Picks that made me look smart

Actual: Tennessee 29, Giants 10.
My prediction: Two teams coming off a loss. It’s tough to argue against Tennessee’s defense right now and the Giants layed an egg against the Colts Sunday night. Lots of matchup problems here for the Giants. Titans 27, Giants 17.

Actual: Seattle 27, San Diego 20
My prediction: Seattle’s a tough team at home and I’m going to give them the edge here in what should be a pass-happy contest. Seahawks in a minor upset. Seahawks 34, Chargers 33.

Other picks that made me look smart: Chicago over Green Bay, New York Jets over Miami.

Picks that made me look like an idiot

Actual: St. Louis 30, Washington 16
My prediction:Washington is coming off a tough loss in OT to the Texans. St. Louis’ defense will be exploited by Mike Shanahan’s running game. Clinton Portis will have a big game here. Redskins 30, Rams 17

Actual:Dallas 27, Houston 13
What’s going on with Dallas? Could the ‘Boys start out 0-3? This is a tough road matchup for Dallas and Houston is on a roll right now. Maybe the Texans are the best football team in Texas. Texans 31, Cowboys 28.

My Week 4 Picks

Denver at Tennessee, noon.
I’m really liking Tennessee’s defense even though I don’t really know who’s playing on it. Good on the road and good at home to start out. They’ll be tested a bit by Denver’s passing game, but Chris Johnson should blow up here to lead the Titans to a win. Titans 37, Broncos 23

Detroit at Green Bay, noon.
Not only did the Bears beat Green Bay last week, Green Bay beat themselves. I’m giving Detroit an ‘A’ for effort, but it’s not going to be enough against Green Bay, which owns the Lions at Lambeau Field. Packers 33, Lions 17

N.Y. Jets at Buffalo, noon.
This could be a sneaky pick here. Buffalo out of nowhere put 30 points up on New England last week. The Jets defense is dealing with some injury problems at the moment so this game will probably be close. I give the edge to Rex Ryan’s coaching here. Jets 27, Bills 23

Seattle at St. Louis, noon.
St. Louis has no doubt improved this year and Seattle should win this game on paper. Seattle is going to load up to stop Stephen Jackson and make rookie quarterback Sam Bradford win the game and he’ll have a chance against an average Seahawk secondary. I do like Seattle in a close one: Seahawks 31, Rams 28

San Francisco at Atlanta, noon.
San Francisco is a mess. Atlanta is coming home after a huge divisional win against the Saints. Easy pick here. Falcons 34, 49ers 13

Baltimore at Pittsburgh, noon.
A great early season matchup between two good defenses. This could be a low scoring game. I’m giving undefeated Pittsburgh the edge playing in front of the terrible towels. Steelers 20, Ravens 17

Carolina at New Orleans, noon.
Carolina’s offense is a major liability right now. Their running backs are not effective with a rookie at the quarterback position. Not enough offense to keep up with the Saints, who are probably a little angry after losing at home to the Falcons. Saints 34, Panthers 23

Cincinnati at Cleveland, noon.
I like Peyton Hillis as Cleveland’s running back, but like Carolina-New Orleans, I don’t think Cleveland’s offense can keep up with Cincinnati’s. Bengals 37, Browns 24

Houston at Oakland, 3:05 p.m.
Houston has the perfect opponent to rebound after a tough loss to Dallas ended an early season run. Look for Arian Foster to run all over Oakland to keep the Raiders winless. Houston 31, Oakland 16

Indianapolis at Jacksonville, 3:05 p.m.
In one word, Peyton Manning is playing efficient this season. I don’t see the Jaguars defense really challenging him this week. Colts 33, Jaguars 21

Arizona at San Diego, 3:15 p.m.
I don’t like San Diego on the road so far this year, but they know how to play in front of the home crowd. The Cardinals had problems with Oakland last week. Chargers 37, Cardinals 21

Washington at Philadelphia, 3:15 p.m.
Lots of Donovan McNabb vs. his former team/coach hype going into this game. I think this game could be a shootout. I’m not worried about McNabb showing up to play – I’m worried about Washington’s defense. Eagles 33, Redskins 27

Chicago at N.Y. Giants, 7:20 p.m.
Chicago is on a roll, but I don’t see the Giants losing two games in a row at home under head coach Tom Coughlin. This should be a fun game to watch though. Giants 27, Bears 26.

Monday’s Game
New England at Miami, 7:30 p.m.
This could be a high scoring game given how the Patriots defense vanished at home against the Bills last week. The good news for New England is they still have those guys named Brady and Moss. That’s enough for the Pats to show up big on a national stage. Patriots 36, Dolphins 20

Open: Kansas City, Dallas, Minnesota, Tampa Bay

Last Week: 13-3

Season: 30-16

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