My Week 5 NFL Picks: Welcome back Mr. Moss, Minnesota missed you

I just watched the Twins lose to the Yankees in Game 1 of the ALDS. I need to make some football picks to distract me from the disappointment of watching the Twins give a game away.

As Eric Idle says, always look on the bright side of life. Randy Moss is back in purple and at least if the Vikings don’t have a magical playoff run, you’ll probably be entertained the rest of the season.

Let’s get to it.

Last week I finished 8-6, which is a little below my expectations. I’d like to be around the 10-11 correct pick range, but I’d like to thank the Browns and the Jaguars from keeping me from posting a good record.

Picks that made me look good

Actual: Giants 17, Bears 3
Chicago is on a roll, but I don’t see the Giants losing two games in a row at home under head coach Tom Coughlin. This should be a fun game to watch though. Giants 27, Bears 26.

Actual: Chargers 41, Cardinals 10
I don’t like San Diego on the road so far this year, but they know how to play in front of the home crowd. The Cardinals had problems with Oakland last week. Chargers 37, Cardinals 21

Picks that made me look like an idiot

Acutal: Redskins 17, Eagles 12
Lots of Donovan McNabb vs. his former team/coach hype going into this game. I think this game could be a shootout. I’m not worried about McNabb showing up to play – I’m worried about Washington’s defense. Eagles 33, Redskins 27

Actual: Browns 23, Bengals 20
I like Peyton Hillis as Cleveland’s running back, but like Carolina-New Orleans, I don’t think Cleveland’s offense can keep up with Cincinnati’s. Bengals 37, Browns 24

My Week 5 Picks

St. Louis at Detroit, noon.
The Rams have been one of the surprise teams this season. While their defense is average, Stephen Jackson, Mark Clayton and rookie quarterback Sam Bradford have made the Rams offense respectable. I still see this being a close game. Rams 26, Lions 23

Denver at Baltimore, noon.
Baltimore has to be feeling good after knocking Pittsburgh from the ranks of the unbeaten. This will only be the Ravens second home game so far this season and I expect the defense to have seven sacks on Broncos QB Kyle Orton. Ravens 33, Broncos 13

N.Y. Giants at Houston, noon.
Running back Ahmad Bradshaw is turning into a force for the Giants but his status is up in the air for Sunday’s game due to an ankle injury. If he plays, I’m giving this one to New York. I’m assuming he will, so: Giants 23, Texans 17

Green Bay at Washington, noon.
Tough news today that the Packers lose linebacker Nick Barnett. I don’t see it being a problem against the Redskins this week as the Packer offense should carry this game. Packers 28, Redskins 24

Chicago at Carolina, noon.
Chicago should bounce back here. If Jay Cutler is unable to start, this game is a coin flip. Most reports out there have Cutler suiting up this game, so: Bears 26, Panthers 20

Atlanta at Cleveland, noon.
I was surprised to see Atlanta have such a hard time against San Francisco at home last week. That doesn’t bode well against a Browns team with a power running back (Peyton Hillis) and some confidence. Browns 24, Falcons 23

Jacksonville at Buffalo, noon.
I know Jacksonville just beat Indianapolis. I have every reason to pick them this week against a floundering Bills team. But I just have no faith in the Jaguars on the road. Bills 24, Jaguars 16

Tampa Bay at Cincinnati, noon.
Cincinnati plays well at home and even though the Bucs are coming off a bye week, the Bengals will rack up the yards through the air. Just look at what Terrell Owens did last week in the loss to the Browns. Bengals 34, Buccaneers 20

Kansas City at Indianapolis, noon.
Who would have picked Kansas City as the last unbeaten? Not me though I like what the Chiefs are showing so far. Honestly, can you pick against Peyton Manning in a home game here? I think the Colts get fired up for this one after last week’s loss and make it a rout. Colts 36, Chiefs 13

New Orleans at Arizona, 3:05 p.m.
Arizona’s offense is just awful right now. Even if New Orleans isn’t looking like the juggernaut it was at the end of last season, they’ve still got enough punch to win this game easy. Saints 28, Cardinals 13

Tennessee at Dallas, 3:15 p.m.
Dallas is coming off a bye week to play at home against a Tennessee team that couldn’t stop Kyle Orton. Tony Romo and Co. are better than the Broncos bunch. Should be a close one though. Cowboys 31, Titans 27

San Diego at Oakland, 3:15 p.m.
San Diego isn’t a great road team. Oakland isn’t a great team at home…or on the road. Chargers 38, Raiders 16

Philadelphia at San Francisco, 7:20 p.m.
This is a tricky game to pick. We haven’t seen much of Kevin Kolb this season because of Michael Vick’s resurgence. If Vick was at quarterback, I wouldn’t have a problem picking the Eagles. But the Eagles are going across the country after a tough division loss. San Fran played a tough Atlanta team good on the road. 49ers 17, Eagles 13

Minnesota at N.Y. Jets, 7:30 p.m. (Monday)
This game will have two interesting storylines going into it. Of course it’s Brett Favre going back and wanting to prove himself in front of the Jets fans he played so poorly in front of two seasons ago. Then there’s the rivalry between Jets CB Darelle Revis and Randy Moss. Revis accused Moss of putting ‘his foot on the brake’ in the meeting between the Patriots and Jets a few weeks back. Translation: Moss was dogging it. Will Moss have a monster game? Doubt it. Will he be effective enough for Adrian Peterson to find some larger gaps in the defense? I think so. I also believe the Vikings defense is going to have a good game here. Jared Allen loves playing on big stages and here we have two: Monday Night Football and New York. Vikings 33, Jets 17

Open: Miami, New England, Pittsburgh, Seattle

Last week: 8-6

Season: 38-22 (.578)

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